By Christian Mabry | 10/30/2020, 12:16 PM CST
We were told in 2016 that Hillary Clinton would win by a landslide. Not only did the New York Times prophesy a blowout victory, but so did virtually every other poll in the nation.
FiveThirtyEight, a group who collects all polling data, rates each source according to accuracy, and uses sophisticated equations to predict the odds of a candidate’s victory or defeat, gave Hillary a whopping 71.4% chance of winning on Election Day.
Needless to say, the polls are not always accurate, and while many of us would love to see Trump leave the Oval Office for good, he may end up with another four years.
Our predictions are shown above. After seeing mine, you may be shocked to learn that this scenario is even possible, but it has actually occurred three other times in our history.
What would happen if they tied?
If Joe Biden and Donald Trump were to split the electoral votes equally, a possibility that is heavily supported by current polling data, whichever party controls the majority of the members of the House of Representatives in each state (one vote per state) would then cast their vote for the President of the United States out of the top three Presidential nominees.
Even though there is a Democratic majority in the House, Republicans would take the lead, most likely choosing Donald Trump to be the president for another four years.
What about the Vice President?
The Senate is responsible for determining who will fill the VP slot out of the top two Vice Presidential nominees.
•2016 Election Forecast: Who Will Be President? – The New York Times
•Amy Coney Barrett’s Bush v. Gore background is a bad sign for election litigation.
•2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map
•Contingent election – Wikipedia
•2016 United States presidential election – Wikipedia
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